Father’s Day: Potentially strong to severe storms late

With as little energy as we have, severe weather is unlikely to occur Saturday night into Sunday locally. Any remaining storms will be capable of having a lot of lightning as well as heavy rain. The best chance for heavy rain will be around I-35 and north of I-90. Storms will be out of the area early on Father’s Day.

More storms will be possible late Sunday into early Monday. The odds of getting storms locally is lower, but the storms that we do get have a better chance of being strong or severe. The amount of storms and the severity of them will depend on where the stationary front will be. The further south the front is, the better our chances for storms (although it will stay, to some degree, to our northwest).

We will have plenty of moisture for storms as well as have enough energy from clearing skies during the day. The key ingredient will be that stationary front and where it is placed. A slight risk (2/5) is in southern Minnesota for severe weather due to the risk for strong winds and large hail (the latter of which is the biggest risk here). Any storms that do develop locally will also have the potential of dropping an additional 1-2″ on top of what we get Saturday night into Sunday morning.

Storms continue heading into the work week, but the severe threat will shift further north on Monday and Tuesday.